In Episode 26 of Lot Talk, Chris Keene, John Anderson, and Ronaldo Leonard from Lotpop dive deep into the current state of automotive inventory and dealership operations. This episode, backed by real-time data from hundreds of dealer calls, uncovers whatâs happening in the market, why itâs happening, andâmost importantlyâhow used car dealers can respond to increase gross and streamline operations.
Hereâs a breakdown of the core insights every used car dealer needs to know.
Whatâs Going On: Inventory Volatility and Buyer Behavior Shifts
Across the Lotpop dealer network, data is showing a clear trend: new car inventories are rising, while used car listings are starting to decline. However, that decline isnât necessarily due to an increase in retail sales.
Instead, thereâs a troubling buildup in âmiddle bucketâ used inventoryâvehicles that have aged out of their prime selling window (the first 30 days on the lot) but havenât yet hit 60+ days. For the first time in a while, even top-performing dealers are falling below the critical threshold of selling what theyâre stocking .
Key Stat: Top dealers dipped to a 49% two-week selling rate, down 4â5% from the previous weekâa red flag indicating potential inventory management challenges ahead .
Why Itâs Happening: Pricing Errors, Tariff Panic, and Identity Confusion
Several converging factors are contributing to these challenges:
- Tariff-Induced Hoarding: Dealers preemptively raised prices expecting a tariff-driven surge in buyers. When that wave didnât come, overpriced inventory stagnated.
- Ego-Based Pricing: Many are pricing inventory based on what they want to make instead of where the unit actually sells.
- Store Identity Misalignment: Dealers are stocking cars outside their typical successful price range or segment. For example, a store whose customers buy at the $21K mark might be holding 35% of inventory over $35Kâa mismatch thatâs choking gross .
Ronaldo noted that instead of working the facts, some dealers are âletting units bleed throughâ into aged buckets, where gross drops dramatically. Thatâs not strategyâthatâs wishful thinking .
How to Fix It: Strategies for Immediate Impact
Hereâs how to course correct and regain control of your gross profit:
1. Track and Sell What Youâre Stocking
This is non-negotiable. If 65% of your inventory is 0â30 days old, aim to sell at least 65% of your units from that same age bracket. Itâs in this window where gross is highest and risk is lowest.
Action Step: Use your inventory management tool to compare age bucket breakdowns between stocked and sold vehicles. If your inventory skews older than your sold units, you have a cycle problem .
2. Prioritize Activity on Fresh Units
Before attacking 60-day inventory, focus your CRM and BDC teams on vehicles in the first 30 days that already show buyer interest. These are your highest probability sales.
Quote: âThe first thing you should do is jump on those customers that are on your 0â30 day inventory.â âJohn Anderson
3. Match Your Pricing to Your Storeâs Identity
If your store consistently sells at 94% of market value, donât bring cars to market at 105% expecting a miracle. Itâs better to price in line with your historical transacting range and sell fast than to hope for a unicorn buyer.
Data Point: A high-performing dealer profiled on the podcast was transacting at 96% in the first 30 days with $1,900 profit per unit and selling 75% of their inventory in that window .
4. Wholesale What Doesnât Fit
Trading for expensive vehicles is inevitable, but that doesnât mean you need to retail every unit. If itâs not a match for your buyer base, offload it quickly in wholesaleâwithin 30 days, just like youâd try to do in retail.
Real-World Example: One East Coast Ford/Lincoln store wholesales anything that doesnât match their sales identity, ensuring they donât tie up capital in vehicles that wonât move .
5. Get Back to the Basics
Poor merchandisingâbad photos, weak descriptions, missing marketingâcan sabotage even the best inventory strategy. If a fresh unit has no activity, this is the first place to look.
Quote: âThe eye in the sky never lies. People will lie seven days a week, but the data never lies.â âRonaldo Leonard
A Word on the Economic Outlook
The team also discussed macroeconomic factors, including interest rates and OEM pressure. OEMs may eventually be forced to introduce aggressive rate and rebate programs to maintain share. But until that happens, dealers must âplay close to the vestâ and avoid speculative inventory strategies.
Final Takeaways
Used car dealers have one job in the current market: Stock smart and sell fast. That means aligning inventory to your storeâs identity, pricing realistically, and attacking fresh inventory with speed and focus.
This isnât about hoping the market rebounds in July or August. Itâs about controlling what you can controlâtoday.
Three Things to Do This Week:
- Audit your 0â30 day inventoryâhow much is it, and how much are you selling from it?
- Analyze pricing vs. actual sell-through ratesâare you leading with ego or facts?
- Set your BDC/CRM to prioritize fresh inventory with leadsâdonât let opportunities age.
